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George Pettaway MORE THAN 65.5 Rushing Yards

Pettaway is firmly entrenched as the clear RB1 for a team that finds itself in an incredibly favorable matchup, especially with the added context of the starting quarterback being sidelined due to injury. The opposition, Western Kentucky, ranks among the bottom 25 teams in the nation in defensive rushing efficiency, surrendering nearly 5 yards per carry on average. Over the last five games, Pettaway has been on an impressive tear, surpassing this yardage line in 4 of those contests and averaging over 86 rushing yards per game during that stretch. With the combination of his recent form, the matchup’s dynamics, and the absence of the starting QB, this is undeniably a prime spot for Pettaway to exceed expectations and hit this line once again.

Ricky White LESS THAN 80.5 Receiving Yards

There are a few compelling reasons why I like betting the under on White’s yardage in this game. First and foremost, White has gone under this line in four of his last six games this season, averaging less than 72 yards per game during that stretch. Second, the timing of this game is tricky for UNLV, as they’ve just lost their head coach and will be operating under an interim coach, which could lead to some disruption in their game plan. And lastly, recent trends suggest that players on the brink of entering the NFL draft—especially those who opt to play in the bowl game rather than sitting out—often see a reduced workload, as teams tend to minimize risk for their future prospects. While White is undoubtedly a talented wide receiver, all these factors line up nicely for a solid under play in this spot.