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Pick #1: Ladd McConkey – Los Angeles Chargers – More than 66.5 Receiving Yards
McConkey suffered a should injury last week and has landed on the injury report, but all signs point to the rookie WR being able to strap up his pads and take the field tonight for a huge MNF battle against the Baltimore Ravens. McConkey was a bit slow to get his feet wet with the Chargers, but he’s now showing the skills that made him a second-round pick in last season’s draft.
Over the last four games, McConkey has racked up 19 receptions for 351 yards and a pair of touchdowns. He is fresh off the best performance of his NFL career, which saw him grab six balls for 123 yards against the Cincinnati Bengals last week in Primetime on SNF.
Tonight, he has one of the best matchups on paper for opposing WRs as the Baltimore Ravens defense has been carved up through the air thus far this season. The Ravens have allowed an NFL-worst 284.5 passing yards against per game this season. According to NFL.com, they’ve also allowed the most fantasy points against opposing WRs, surrendering 42.97 fantasy points per game. McConkey is already looking to be Justin Herbert’s favorite weapon. Assuming the rookie can play tonight, he seems primed for another massive game in this potential shootout.
Pick #2: Derrick Henry – Baltimore Ravens – More than 0.5 Touchdowns
This pick is pretty straightforward: Henry has already found the endzone 15 times in 11 games. He’s scored at least one touchdown in each of the last ten games for the Ravens. There isn’t a back in the league more productive/intimidating than he is in short yardage, and he also still has the wheels to break a long one (two runs for over 80+ yards already this season).
The Chargers have been solid against the run all season, but they’ve had a pretty favorable schedule in that regard, as they’ve yet to face a team with a rushing attack as potent as the Ravens. The .7X multiplier on this selection suggests a 58.82% success rate is needed to break even, or +170 betting odds. The current market for this pick is -210 on most books, so we’re still getting some solid value here.
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