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Pick #1: Kyle Gibson – St. Louis Cardinals – More than 5.5 Hits Allowed

Over four August starts, Kyle Gibson has posted a concerning 5.48 ERA and 1.43 WHIP, indicating control issues. This pattern is consistent with his recent performance, as he has walked at least two batters in 10 of his last 14 starts. The Padres’ approach further compounds this issue as they own the lowest team strikeout rate in MLB this season, suggesting they will work deep into counts and increase the chances of Gibson issuing walks.

Additionally, Gibson has struggled at Busch Stadium, with a troubling 27 walks in just 12 home starts this season. Olli Marmol has given Gibson a relatively long leash all season, giving him ample time to issue a pair of free passes.

Pick #2: Luis Robert – Chicago White Sox – More than 1.5 Total Bases

Luis Robert will face Ty Madden, who is making his MLB debut after struggling mightily at AAA, where he posted a 6.98 ERA and 1.59 WHIP over 22 starts. Madden’s poor performance has been magnified against righties, as right-handed batters have hit .317 against him and belted 12 home runs in just 43.2 innings in the minors this season.

Meanwhile, Robert has been on a hot streak, recording at least two hits in three consecutive games and four of his last five. He remains the most formidable bat in the White Sox lineup, and I expect him to keep things rolling on the South Side this evening.