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Pick #1: JP Sears – Oakland Athletics – Fewer than 5.0 Strikeouts
This line just seems at least one strikeout too high. Sears’ 5.13 xFIP is the worst mark among all qualified pitchers in MLB this season and his fly-ball tendencies (47.1% Fly-Ball%) don’t figure to play well at Fenway Park. He owns a subpar 16.7% K% through 18 starts this season and has only surpassed this total in five of those 18 appearances. While the Red Sox do strike out too frequently against left-handed pitchers, I don’t see Sears lasting long enough in this game to burn us here.
Pick #2: Bobby Witt Jr. – Kansas City Royals – More than 9.5 Fantasy Points
Fresh from a successful stop at Coors Field, Witt will make the trip to battle the cross-state rival St. Louis Cardinals riding a six-game hitting streak (and hits in 12 of the last 13). Witt owns a .356 wRC+ and .243 ISO against right-handed pitching as we push past the season’s mid-point.
He has 49 extra-base hits this season to go along with 22 stolen bases, so it’s clear he can rack up fantasy points in many different ways and very quickly. If the double-header forces Wilson Contreras behind the plate for St. Louis, his stolen base upside shoots up drastically as Contreras has only gunned down 3 of 24 base runners.
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