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Jordon Love higher than 219.5 passing yards
This is more of a play against the Chargers than it is for Love. The Chargers have the worst pass defense in the league by far. They have given up at least 232 yards every game (and that 232 was a season-high for Tyson Bagent). Love has gone over 219 in all but 3 games this year, including the last 3 games. I think you can play this up to 230 yards.
Tony Pollard higher than 61.5 rushing yards
Pollard has been getting 12-15 rushes a game and the way to attack this Carolina team has been on the ground. They are a ton 10 pass defense but a bottom 10 rush defense, giving up 4.3 yards per carry. Pollard has not gone over this line since week 3, which does give me pause, but of those 6 games, 3 have been blowout wins and 2 were against top defenses in Philly and SF. I think this is a great game for him to go off.
Brock Purdy higher than 233.5 passing yards
Tampa Bay has one of the top rush defenses in the country but teams have been very good at attacking them through the air. They have given up at least 250 passing yards in 6 of 9 games this year. Purdy has proven to be very good this year and has at least 250 passing yards in 6 of the last 7 games. I think this number is very low and would play it to 245 yards.
Amon-Ra St. Brown higher than 80.5 receiving yards
Amon-Ra has been great for the Lions this year. He has at least 100 yards receiving in each Sunday game this year (he has under 100 in 2 Thursday night games) and is averaging just under 11 targets a game. I love the volume against a team that has given up some big games through the air this year.
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