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Sam LaPorta higher than 42.5 receiving yards
LaPorta is turning into a stud for the Lions, with a 23% target share and over 10 yards per reception. Green Bay gave up 44 yards to Bears TEs in week 1 and 66 yards to Falcons TEs in week 2. I expect him to get his normal 5+ receptions here as Green Bay will be focused on taking out St. Brown. I would play this up to 50 yards.
Tony Pollard higher than 79.5 rushing yards
Pollard has 48 attempts in the last 2 games, and that includes a game that the Cowboys were trailing against the Cardinals. The Cowboys are big favorites at home against the Patriots and he should get plenty of runs here as well. Pollard is rushing for over 4 yards per carry and is one of the last true bellcow backs in the league right now. I like him up to 85 yards.
Nico Collins higher than 50.5 receiving yards
The Texans’ passing game has been surprisingly good early in the season, and Collins has been a big part of that. He had a little bit of a down week in week 3 with Houston getting up early and not passing as much as normal, but I think this week the game stays tighter. I would play him up to 55 yards.
Travis Kelce higher than 71.5 receiving yards
Kelce has yet to have that huge game this year but a prime-time game at New York seems like the perfect place to do it. He is going to be a big story going into the week and Mahomes always tries to get his guy featured when it counts. I see Kelce having a huge game here and would play him up to 80 yards
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