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Nico Collins over 55.5 receiving yards
This is a Texans team that is going to be down in most games this year. They have averaged over 45 passes a game and Collins is the top target. He has an aDoT of 14.4 yards on 20 targets. The Texans are 9.5-point dogs here and are going to be throwing it around as much as ever. I love Collins to get 8-10 targets here and he should easily go over.
Christian McCaffrey over 17.5 rush attempts
It was said that the 49ers were going to limit McCaffrey’s field time early in the season to keep him fresh, and I was very skeptical. Through 2 games, he has been on the field for 115 of 125 offensive snaps and has 42 of 47 RB rushes. This is a game that the 9ers are expected to control and McCaffrey should have plenty of runs down the stretch. I like the rush yards but I think the attempts are safer.
Ceedee Lamb over 70.5 receiving yards
Lamb wasn’t needed much in week 1 and still had 77 yards on just 4 targets. In a little tighter game against the Jets, he had 13 targets and 143 receiving yards. Lamb is a YAC machine and this Arizona team has some holes in the secondary. This is a good number for Lamb and you shouldn’t go much higher, but I think he has 80-100 yards in him here.
Kirk Cousins over 279.5 passing yards
Cousins has games of 344 and 364 yards passing with 44 passes in each game. The Chargers have given up 702 passing yards through 2 games. This is a game that is expected to shoot out and I think both QBs can get over 300 yards passing. Minnesota has shown that it wants to air it out and I love this spot to smash the over.
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