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Diego Pavia over 33.5 rushing yards
Pavia came in after the start of the 3rd quarter against UMass last year and ran for 56 yards in less than a half. He had at least 50 rushing yards in each of the last 5 FBS games of the season where he cemented himself as the starter. I think this number is way too low and I would play it up to 40.5 yards.
Cyrus Allen over 55.5 receiving yards
Allen is a big play WR for Louisiana Tech and I love this spot for this passing game. FIU really struggled on against the pass last year and the way Vegas sees this game, it should have some decent scoring. I love Cyrus get some big plays here.
Will Sheppard over 4.5 receptions
Sheppard led Vanderbilt 120 targets on the year and this is a team that has said it wants to air it out more. I love them using this game to get its offense going and Sheppard should be the clear #1 WR here.
Sieh Bangura over 12.5 fantasy points
Bangura is a volume back that should get 20+ carries here. He has a huge fantasy upside each week and he had at least 12.5 fantasy points in all but 2 games last year (6.1 vs Iowa State and 12.4 vs Toledo). This is slated to be a low-scoring game but Bangura is also used in the passing game which gives him some cushion with this low fantasy total.
