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Hunter Renfroe LESS THAN 0.5 Total Bases

Renfroe has gotten off to a sluggish start this season, carrying a .138 expected batting average and managing just 2 hits over his last 9 games. He now faces Germán Márquez, a pitcher who’s consistently had his number—Renfroe has just 1 hit and 2 walks in 15 career plate appearances against him. Given his cold streak and poor history in this matchup, this feels like a great spot to take advantage of some extra value on the under for total bases.

Bryce Harper MORE THAN 0.5 Total Bases

Harper is off to a strong start this season, sporting a .277 expected batting average and an impressive .405 xwOBA — placing him in the 92nd percentile across all of MLB. He’s recorded hits in 17 of the 24 games he’s played so far, showing consistent production at the plate. Historically, he’s dominated this matchup as well, batting .421 with 3 walks in 22 career plate appearances against Peterson. All signs point to this being a great spot for Harper to stay hot.