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Dansby Swanson MORE THAN 0.5 Hits

Swanson may be off to a slow start this season, but this matchup presents a prime opportunity for him to get back on track. He’s had notable success against Corbin Burnes in his career, collecting 6 hits in just 11 at-bats — a strong track record against a typically tough arm. While Burnes is still a high-caliber pitcher, he hasn’t been untouchable this year, allowing an average of 5 hits per game. Given Swanson’s history in this matchup and the vulnerability Burnes has shown, this feels like a sneaky-good spot for Swanson to bounce back and deliver.

Brandon Nimmo LESS THAN 0.5 Hits

If you’re looking for a slightly safer option, the under 1.5 total bases is a solid fallback here. That said, this is a tough matchup for Nimmo. He’s had a rough history against Miles Mikolas, managing just 2 hits and 3 walks over 22 career at-bats. On top of that, Nimmo has cooled off at the plate recently, recording just one hit over his last four games. With the cold streak and a pitcher he’s struggled against historically, this looks like a favorable spot to fade Nimmo.