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Jaylin Williams LESS THAN 25.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists

Williams has consistently fallen short of this number in an overwhelming 91% of the games he’s played this season, which highlights just how challenging it’s been for him to hit this mark. His line seems a bit inflated, likely due to OKC being short-handed in tonight’s matchup against Portland. However, Portland presents one of the toughest defensive challenges, especially against opposing power forwards. In fact, they’re ranked in the top 3 in the league in all three major defensive categories when it comes to guarding power forwards. Given their elite defense and Williams’ struggles this season, this number feels much too high for him tonight.

Nikola Jokic LESS THAN 38.5 Points + Assists

Jokic has been struggling to surpass this line, going under in 67% of his last 24 games since January 11. Even more concerning, he’s only exceeded it once in the 7 games since the All-Star break, averaging just under 33.5 points and assists during that stretch. Tonight, he faces the Suns, a team he’s only gone over this line against once in their 3 matchups this season. Given his recent form and the challenging matchup, this number feels too high for Jokic, especially considering his struggles to hit it consistently.