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Aaron Gordon MORE THAN 7.5 Rebounds + Assists
Aaron Gordon has gone over this rebounds + assists line in 14 of his last 22 games, averaging 8.8 combined during that span. He draws a favorable matchup against a Rockets team that has already locked in the No. 2 seed and may not be playing with full intensity or a complete rotation. Just a few weeks ago, Gordon posted 12 rebounds and assists against this same squad, showing he can take advantage of the matchup. Given the circumstances and his recent form, this looks like a strong spot for Gordon to hit the over.
Rudy Gobert LESS THAN 11.5 Rebounds
Rudy Gobert has had a strong season overall, but this particular line feels a bit inflated. He’s stayed under it in 61% of games this year and has come up short in both of his previous matchups against the Jazz. In those games, he’s averaged just 7.5 rebounds — well below his season norm. Utah has also done a solid job limiting production on the glass, allowing only 12.5 rebounds per game to opposing centers. Given the matchup and the numbers, this line looks a little too high for Gobert.
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