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Austin Reaves MORE THAN 18.5 Points
Reaves has been on a tear lately, going over this line in 11 of his last 13 games while averaging an impressive 26.5 points per contest during that stretch. With Luka settling into the flow of the offense, Reaves has been more aggressive, getting quality looks and taking more shots—something that’s clearly reflected in his recent scoring surge. While he’s up against a tough Oklahoma City defense that ranks among the league’s best, they’ve recently been managing minutes and giving players rest, which could open the door for Reaves to capitalize. Given his current form and increased offensive role, this number feels like a great value.
Brook Lopez LESS THAN 5.5 Rebounds
Lopez has stayed under this line in 9 of his last 13 games, averaging fewer than 4.8 rebounds per contest during that stretch—a clear sign of a shifting role. With several key pieces missing for the Bucks, he’s been leaned on more for his scoring rather than his work on the glass, which has naturally led to a dip in his rebounding numbers. Given this trend and his current usage, this line feels a bit too high, and I really like the value on Lopez to stay under here.
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