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Ja Morant LESS THAN 37.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists

Morant has stayed under this line in 70% of his games this season, indicating that while he’s had some standout performances, this number has generally been a bit out of reach for him. Although he’s been heating up recently, his season-long production still sits below 34.5 combined points, rebounds, and assists per game. He now faces a Pistons squad that quietly excels at limiting opposing point guards—ranking top 10 in rebounds allowed and leading the league in assists surrendered to the position. Given both the matchup and his season averages, this line feels a bit too high for Morant in this spot.

Tyler Herro MORE THAN 18.5 Points (Goblin)

Herro has been remarkably consistent this season, hitting this mark in 76% of his games, including 9 of his last 10—highlighting just how locked in he’s been offensively. He’s averaging just under 23.9 points per game on the year, and now gets a matchup he’s already thrived in. The last time he faced the Bucks back in February, he exploded for 40 points, showing his ability to torch this defense. Milwaukee continues to struggle against opposing shooting guards, allowing nearly 26 points per game to the position. With his current form and a favorable matchup, this is a great spot for Herro to keep it rolling.

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