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Aaron Nesmith LESS THAN 18.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists

Aaron Nesmith has struggled to clear this mark, staying under in 61% of games this season while averaging just under 16.7 combined points, rebounds, and assists per game. He faces a surprisingly tough matchup against a Wizards team that has been one of the league’s best at limiting production from opposing small forwards, ranking in the top 10 in all three stat categories. In his only previous meeting with Washington this season, Nesmith managed just 10 combined PRA, further highlighting the difficulty of this matchup. Given the defensive resistance he’ll face, this number feels a bit too high for him tonight.

Dillon Brooks MORE THAN 13.5 Points

Dillon Brooks has seen an uptick in usage recently due to injuries affecting several key Rockets players, and as a result, he has surpassed this mark in six of his last ten games. With Amen Thompson listed as questionable, Brooks could see an additional boost in opportunities. On top of that, he draws a highly favorable matchup against a Jazz defense that has struggled to contain opposing small forwards, ranking in the bottom five in points allowed to the position, giving up over 22.5 per game. This sets up as a strong spot for Brooks to continue his recent production.