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Tyler Herro LESS THAN 41.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists

Herro has consistently fallen short of this line in 76% of his games this season, including a particularly rough outing against this same team on Monday, where he totaled just 20 points, rebounds, and assists—one of his weakest performances of the year. On average, he’s been combining just over 35 points, rebounds, and assists this season, making this line look a bit too high. With a number of Heat players listed as questionable, it’s worth keeping an eye on the injury report, but given his current form and recent struggles, I’m not confident he’ll hit this number.

Anfernee Simons LESS THAN 33.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists

Simons has consistently fallen under this line in 67% of his games this season, including 14 of his last 19 contests. Over that stretch, he’s been averaging just over 26 combined points, rebounds, and assists, which is significantly lower than this line. While he does get a favorable matchup against Washington here, who has struggled defensively, this number feels much too high for Simons given his recent production and overall trends. It’s hard to see him hitting this mark with consistency.