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Elly De La Cruz MORE THAN 0.5 Most Stolen Bases

My top play I think in any season long this year is Elly De La Cruz most stolen bases. Last season he stole 67 bases on 83 attempts. No other player had more than 63 attempts. Shohei was 2nd last year with 59 stolen bases. I anticipate Ohtani to have a bit of regression in all offensive stats though as he returns to the mound. I think he will take a few more games off and might be a little more risk-averse. De La Cruz season total line at Fanduel is 53.5, the next highest listing is Corbin Carrol with 38.5. If De La Cruz stays healthy this year, he should easily cash this.

Aaron Judge MORE THAN 0.5 Most Home Runs

The second play I love is Aaron Judge most home runs. Judge has easily won this in the last 2 years that he has been healthy, and was on pace for 55 home runs in 2023 where Matt Olsen won the title with 54 home runs. Ohtani was 2nd in home runs last year with 54 (to Judge’s 58) but again, I think Ohtani will refocus on pitching this year and have a few fewer at-bats here. Ohtani has had 3 seasons where he pitched more than 10 games, and in each of those he had at least 50 fewer at-bats than he did last year, where he had 8 more home runs than any other season in his career. Behind Ohtani, no one is within 13 home runs of Judge in the bookmaker odds.

If you just play those 2, you get a nice 5x pair and a safer play (for a season-long, which always has inherent risk). I wanted a 3 man though.

Paul Skenes MORE THAN 0.5 Most Strikeouts

My 3rd play is more risky but I love the opportunity to root for it all year. Adding Paul Skenes to get you the most strikeouts gives you a 22x 3 man. Skenes threw 270 strikeouts in 133 MLB innings last year. He did not get called up until mid-May so he was 7-8 starts behind the top pitchers and was on an innings count (as is typical with first-year major league starters), ending up at 160 innings pitched between MLB and the minors. The top pitchers generally throw around 32-33 games and 180-200 innings. If you extrapolate out his K/IP up to 180 innings this year, he would have 230 Ks. Last year’s leader had 228. A few weeks ago he said he did not want a limit this year, saying he would pitch 240 innings if needed, just get him the ball. If he can get a full season in, Skenes is in for a monster year.