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James Harden Less THAN 10.5 Assists

Harden has been trending under this line in 71% of games this season, averaging just over 8.5 assists per game. Tonight, he’ll be up against the Grizzlies, who allow an average of only 6 assists per game to opposing shooting guards, which doesn’t bode well for him hitting this mark. While Harden can definitely have a solid game, as shown earlier this season when he recorded 9 assists against them, this number feels a bit too ambitious given the matchup. It’s a tough ask for him to clear it.

Toumani Camara MORE THAN 5.5 Rebounds.

Camara has been on a strong rebound streak, going over this line in 10 of his last 12 games and 20 of his last 29. He’s been averaging a solid 7.67 rebounds per game during that stretch, showing consistent production on the boards. With Ayton once again sidelined, Camara steps into a bigger role tonight, and he’s been excellent in that spot, going over this number in 7 of the last 8 games Ayton has missed. To add even more confidence, he’s cleared this line in both matchups against the Nuggets this season. Everything points to a strong rebounding performance for Camara tonight.