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Pick #1: Isiah Pacheco – Kansas City Chiefs – More than 40.5 Rushing Yards

The Chiefs are in a strong position as 7.5-point favorites at home, and with Pacheco returning from injury, he should be ready to get more of his usual workload as they push for a third straight title. The extra rest has been a good thing for him, and while Kareem Hunt isn’t going away, there’s still more than enough work for Pacheco to crush this 38.5 rushing yards line.

The Texans weren’t bad against the run (ranked 11th in yardage against), but Kansas City had success against them on the ground in their previous meeting this season, racking up 124 rushing yards on 28 total attempts. A slight increase in both usage and efficiency for Hunt should be expected, making this a very reachable target for the 25-year-old. As we did prior to his injury, we should see Pacheco with double-digit rushing attempts in this one so grab it before it keeps rising.

Pick #2: Jahmyr Gibbs – Detroit Lions – More than 84.5 Rushing Yards

David Montgomery may be back, but Gibbs has established himself as the top running back in the Detroit back field. Fresh off of a four-touchdown performance (with 139 rushing yards) against the Minnesota Vikings to wrap up the NFC North and the #1 seed, Gibbs will be looking for an encore performance Saturday night in Motown against the Commanders.

Gibbs has topped 100+ rushing yards in three straight games heading into the playoffs and, now well rested, has a top-tier matchup awaiting him as Washington allowed 2,337 rushing yards against this season (third most in the NFL). Gibbs has averaged a disgusting 6.1 yards per carry at Ford Field this season and this game script sets up well for him to be the featured piece of this explosive Detroit offense (9.5 home favorites).