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Pick #1: Nico Collins – Houston Texans – More than 71.5 Receiving Yards

Nico Collins is set to return tonight just in time for the MNF showdown with the cross-state rival Dallas Cowboys. Prior to the game in which he was injured in Early October, Nico was thriving once again with C.J. Stoud. In the season’s first four games, Collins racked up 30 receptions for 489 yards (7.5 receptions, 122.25 yards on average).

Tonight, he’ll return to face a Cowboy’s secondary that has surrendered these stats to opposing pass-catchers in their current four-game skid:

A.J. Brown – 5 receptions, 109 yards
Darnell Mooney – 5 receptions, 88 yards
George Kittle – 6 receptions, 128 yards (as well as Deebo Samuel with 4 for 71)
Jameson Williams – 3 receptions, 76 yards

Nico’s stat line indoors during his career is as follows: 135 receptions, 2,218 yards, 13 touchdowns in 29 games. I expect him keep the trend rolling and sail past this number tonight.

Pick #2: Rico Dowdle – Dallas Cowboys – Fewer than 53.5 rushing yards

Dowdle has taken over the role as the lead back for the Cowobys, but he’s still only topped 12 rushing attempts in one game this season. Zeke Elliott still snags a chunk of the usage in this backfield, and Dowdle hasn’t shown much explosiveness this season as he’s yet to break a single run for 20+ yards this season.

Houston has been solid against opposing running backs this season, allowing the 5th lowest fantasy points to RBs (18.31 fantasy points per game). With Dak Prescott out and CeeDee Lamb at least compromised, DeMeco Ryans will be able to focus more of his attention on the line of scrimmage and stopping this Dallas running game in its tracks. It’s a fair line at a glance, but I like the chances of Dowdle falling short of this number once again (as he’s done in 6 of 8 games this season).