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Puka Nacua less than 5 receptions
Nacua started hot this year but has not been catching nearly as many passes since Cooper Kupp has been back. He has 5 or less receptions in 7 straight games now. Some other books and sites have him at 5.5 receptions which I would nail the under on but even at 5 receptions, I think the under is a great play.
Dalton Kincaid more than 30.5 receiving yards
Kincaid is listed as limited but he was last week and played so I will list him here. The Bills-Cowboys game was ugly with the weather and the entire Bills passing game suffered so I am throwing that out the window. Before that, Kincaid had at least 5 receptions in 7 straight games and he went over 30.5 receiving yards in all but 1 of them. I think this is a great bounceback spot against a Rams team that gives up a ton of production to tight ends.
Easton Stick more than 209.5 passing yards
The Chargers started off sluggish but Stick put up the numbers he needed to last week, albeit against a soft coverage. I think the Chargers come out swinging here after their coach was fired after that awful Thursday night game. The Bills are favored by 11.5 which should lead to more passing by Stick as well. He might not blow up the stat sheet but 210 yards is doable.
Jake Browning more than 235.5 passing yards
Browning has thrown for at least 275 yards in 3 straight games and now get a matchup with a mediocre Steelers pass defense. Even with Chase out last week, Browning showed that he can move the ball around. This is only a 2 point spread and Cincinatti loves to air it out in close games and I think that continues here.
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