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Jordan Love higher than 20 pass completions
Love has gotten more accurate as the year has gone on and he also throws it more when Green Bay is down. Love has 20+ passing completions in each of the last 5 games and 7 or 9 games since week 3. Detroit is giving up 21.5 pass completions a game on the year. This is a great number to me.
Jahmyr Gibbs higher than 27.5 receiving yards
Gibbs is getting used more and more in this offense. He has at least 5 targets in each of his last 5 games and has 35+ receiving yards in 4 straight. In the last 2 games with David Montgomery healthy, he has outsnapped Montgomery 38-25 and 36-25 including snaps on 22 pass plays in each game. This is another easy spot to play the over.
Tyler Conklin higher than 3 receptions
This entire offense was not good last week and now they are getting a change at QB. Boyle looked Conklin’s way several times last week and now gets a nice matchup. The Dolphins have given up at least 3 receptions to TE’s in every game but 1 and the Jets are going to have to air it out. I like him to get plenty of targets and get involved often here.
Tyler Lockett over 4.5 receptions
I am going to go with one of the top plays on our Underdog: projEV tool here. Locket is -160 on Pinnacle to go over 4.5 receptions here in a game that Seattle will probably have to air it out. He has 5+ receptions in 4 of the last 6 games and I think will get plenty of targets here.
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