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CJ Stroud higher than 246.5 passing yards
If the Texans are going to stay in this game, then they are going to have to air it out. Stroud has shown all year that he can air it out when he needs to and I think he will need to here. I am also going to be on the lookout for pass attempts here as the Texans’ run game has been nonexistent this year and they will have to rely on Stroud to get anything done.
Brock Purdy higher than 245.5 passing yards
The Jags have given up at least 280 passing yards in 5 of 8 games this year. The 3 QBs that did not get there were Anthony Richardson in his 1st start, Desmond Ridder, and Kenny Pickett/Mitch Trubisky in the game where Pickett got hurt. The 49ers have been reeling with 3 straight losses and I think they will pull out all the stops here coming off of a bye week.
Jared Goff higher than 260.5 passing yards
This is a pick that I will play a little lighter as the Lions might run more with David Montgomery back, but Goff has a matchup with the worst pass defense in the league. In the last 3 games, Goff has averaged over 300 yards passing per game. This is a really nice spot for Goff as long as the Lions let him air it out.
Ja’Marr Chase higher than 86.5 receiving yards
The Texans have given up some huge games to pass catchers this year and I love going to studs off of down games. The Bengals spread it around a bit against the Bills but I think they go back to their top guy here to make sure he stays engaged. We remember what happened at the beginning of the year when they weren’t feeding him.
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