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Joe Mixon over 57.5 rushing yards
Since the passing game has picked up for the Bengals, Mixon has gotten some room to move around and his production has really picked up. Mixon has covered this number in 5 of the last 6 games and now he gets a Bills run defense that gives up the 2nd most yards per carry on the year. I think he will get volume in any game scenario that is not a complete blowout out and I do not see that happening here.
Kenneth Walker over 61.5 rushing yards
Walker did not get a ton of volume against a really tough rushing defense in Cleveland and still hit this number last week. He has gone over 62 yards in every game except 1 this year and this is a nice matchup. Baltimore gives up over 4 yards per carry and I really think this number is a few yards too low.
Tony Pollard under 53.5 rushing yards
Dallas has really focused on the pass in the last 4 games and I think they will continue to air it out against one of the best rush defenses in the country. Philly gave up 59 rushing yards to Brian Robinson last game, and that is the first time in 8 games that they gave up more than 53 yards to any rusher. I wouldn’t take much of a bump here but I think this is a pass-first game for Dallas.
AJ Brown over 94.5 receiving yards
Brown has broken out from one of the elite WRs in the league into that very top tier with the likes of Tyreek Hill. He just set a record for consecutive 125 receiving-yard games and I think they continue to target him in a big game here. Teams have to respect the other threats in Smith and Goedert so he will still be able to get his targets in here.
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