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Dalton Kincaid over 36.5 receiving yards
Kincaid should get an uptick in usage with Knox being shelved indefinitely after getting wrist surgery. The Bills love to target their tight ends, and Kincaid is coming off of the best game of his career with 8 receptions for 75 yards. Knox has been running some of the deeper WR routes and I think Kindcaid will get a few more of those. Behind Kincaid, there is 1 target all year for a tight end. This is a great spot.
Adam Thielen over 68.5 receiving yards
Thielen has at least 13 targets in 3 of the last 4 games and at least 8 targets in every game since week 2. The Texans give up plenty of yards to top pass catchers on opposing teams and are 25th in pass yards allowed per game. I love Thielen to keep up his amazing season and get at least 75 here.
Breece Hall over 66.5 rushing yards
Hall should feast here, just as he did against Denver. The Giants are giving up 5 yards per carry and Hall has huge play upside. He did not get a ton of carries against the great Eagle run defense but I think he gets a big volume game here. I like him up to 70 yards.
Jalen Hurts over 254.5 passing yards
I don’t understand this line. Hurts has over 277 yards in 5 straight game and the Commanders have given up at least 279 yards passing in 5 of the last 6 games, including each of the last 4. The last matchup between these teams was an OT thriller where Hurts threw for 319 and I think he can be played up to 270.
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