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Brian Robinson over 65.5 rushing yards
Robinson struggled against Philly last week but he still got plenty of volume. Chicago does not have near the rush defense that Philly has and I think that Washington will lean on Robinson again here. He should get his normal 15ish carries but I would not take a bump here.
Christian Kirk over 56.5 receiving yards
Over the last 3 games, Kirk has 32 targets including 2 games with 12+ targets. He is averaging over 10 yards per reception and is bringing in over 72% of his targets. This week, he goes up against a Buffalo team that is going to put up a lot of points. I really like him to get plenty of work and be in a positive game script. I like him up to 62 yards.
Zach Wilson over 184.5 passing yards
This is a play as much against the Broncos as it is for Wilson. Wilson flipped a switch on Sunday night and became a pretty good QB for a bit. He showed flashes of talent and competence which is all he really needs here. PFF has the Broncos ranked dead last in both coverage and tackling, and they have given up an average of 285 yards passing this year including making Justing Fields look amazing last week (with 335 yards passing). I would play this up to 195 yards.
Joe Mixon over 62.5 rushing yards
Burrow has been obviously hurting and Mixon is getting plenty of value. The Cardinals are in the bottom 25% of rush defenses and they are giving up over 4.4 yards per carry. Mixon should get plenty of runs here and I think he should clear this here. I wouldn’t take a bump on him though with Burrow’s health being such a question mark.
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