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AJ Brown over 74.5 receiving yards

For a Thursday Night game, this game has a really nice total.  The Eagles threw the ball 38 times last week in a close game, and now their lead back from week 1 is trending towards not playing.  I think this game script leans to the pass.  Brown had 1 less target than DeVonta Smith in week 1 with 9 but he had an aDot of 18.6!  Brown also led the team with 35 routes run.  I really like Brown to be close to or over 100 yards here.

Brian Robinson under 59.5 rushing yards

Robinson seemed like a shoo-in for volume last week, but he got 11 of his 19 carries in the 4th quarter in week 1, and 8 of those were after the Commanders got the lead.  This game with the Broncos has a low total and the Broncos had the most efficient rush defense in week 1, giving up just 2.1 yards per carry.  It does concern me a bit that no other RB had more than 3 rushes, but even with 19 carries in week 1, Josh Jacobs only had 48 yards rushing.

Tyler Higbee under 45.5 receiving yards

Higbee was kind of a fizzle with Puka Nacua emerging as a stud for this Rams offense.  This week will not get any easier for him, with one of the best defenses against opposing Tight Ends coming to town in San Francisco.  Higbee only had 3 targets in week 1, and although he had a nice aDoT compared to normal, I feel he will get overlooked on those deeper routes more times than not.  Higbee has only had 2 games with over 45.5 receiving yards since week 6 of last season and the 49ers have only given up 4 games over that in that same span.

Jamaal Williams over 55.5 rushing yards

I am going to try this one more time and go back to the well with Jamaal Williams.  I might be hesitant on this line if Kendre Miller comes back so keep an eye out for that news.  Williams had 18 carries in week 1 with another running back getting just 1 carry (Taysom Hill did have 3 carries as well).  He only averaged 2.5 ypc with the Titans locking him down, but now he gets a Panthers defense that just gave up over 55 yards to 2 separate RBs in Tyler Allgeier and Bijan Robinson in week 1.  As long as he is the only horse in the stable, I think he is in play.

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