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Deshaun Watson lower than 240.5 passing yards
Watson came in after his suspension last year and threw for over 240 yards just once in 6 games. This is a run-first team with a stud and Watson will use his legs as well. This game is expected to be close and in those situations, the Browns tend to try to keep things more conservative.
AJ Brown higher than 66.5 receiving yards
Brown finished the year on a tear, with at least 70 receiving yards in each of the last 6 games. The NFC champs go on the road to the Patriots here and I think they will want to get their offense going early. There is still not a ton of depth at the WR position and the targets should still be centralized with Brown getting the most.
Aaron Jones higher than 49.5 rushing yards
With Love taking the reigns here, I think that the Packers try to keep this a little more conservative to start the year. The Bears were one of the worst run defenses in the league last year, giving up almost 5 yards per carry. Jones is still going to split reps with Dillon, but he should get a higher percentage of carries.
Christian Kirk higher than 50.5 receiving yards
With Ridley coming to Jacksonville, teams are going to have to take some coverage away from Kirk. Kirk showed how much talent and upside he had last year, and he should still get plenty of targets. Indy is really going to struggle this year with a very young team and I love this whole offense to go off.
