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Mahomes higher than 0.5 total yards
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David Montgomery lower than 65.6 rushing + receiving yards
Montgomery is going to be in a timeshare here with Jahmyr Gibbs which I think will really cut into his rushing production. He is going to be the plodding back here and not the dynamic guy which will really limit the targets he gets as well. The extra cushion you get playing both of these together really makes this a nice play.
Richie James lower than 23.5 receiving yards
James comes into KC from a good year with the Giants, but he has been getting bypassed by some of the younger guys in practices. There are a ton of mouths to feed in this offense and James is going to get pushed down that list.
Josh Reynolds higher than 25.5 receiving yards
Reynolds is going to get plenty of opportunities with Jameson Williams suspended and I think this is a game that the Lions are going to have to air it out. Reynolds started the year hot last year before getting injured and then Jameson Williams came back from injury. I think KC is going to try to take Amon-Ra out here and the other WRs will get some work.
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